Delivery Forecast

A delivery forecast is a data-driven estimate of when a Work Unit will be completed, derived from the actual historical pace of the organization’s own completed work rather than from a manually entered due date.

A delivery forecast answers the question every stakeholder asks: "when will this be done?" Traditional project tools answer it with a due date someone typed in months ago. A delivery forecast answers it empirically, by looking at how long comparable work has actually taken to complete in your organization, and projecting the current Work Unit forward along that same curve.

LiveIndex generates forecasts using a nearest-neighbour model trained on your own organization’s completed Work Units. It finds historical outcomes that resemble the one in flight (by scope, composition, and pace) and uses their real cycle times to estimate a completion window. Because the model learns from your team’s actual behaviour, the forecast reflects how your team really works, not an industry average or wishful planning.

Forecasts update continuously. As work accelerates or stalls, the projected completion date moves, and the change itself becomes a signal: a forecast slipping a week over a few days is an early warning long before a deadline is formally missed.

On client-facing reports, forecasts are presented as anonymized, executive-level estimates, a confidence-rated date range, without exposing the underlying historical data or internal velocity figures that produced them.

Related terms

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